A Blueprint for Peace in Iraq

Juan Cole at his blog, Informed Comment, highlighted an article, “For the first time, a real blueprint for peace in Iraq”, which appeared in the Independent newspaper from the UK on Jan. 5th.

In it a former defense minister from Iraq, Ali Allawi, lays out his view of what’s occurred in Iraq and with Iraq’s neighbors and identifies the challenges that exist because of those occurrences. He then sets forth a blueprint for the future, noting, “It requires genuine vision and statesmanship to pull the Middle East from its death spiral. The elements of a possible solution are there if the will exists to postulate an alternative to the politics of fear, bigotry and hatred.”

He continues:

The first step must be the recognition that the solution to the Iraq crisis must be generated first internally, and then, importantly, at the regional level. The two are linked and the successful resolution of one would lead to the other…No foreign power, no matter how benevolent, should be allowed to dictate the terms of a possible historic and stable settlement in the Middle East.

Secondly, the basis of a settlement must take into account the fact that the forces that have been unleashed by the invasion of Iraq must be acknowledged and accommodated. These forces, in turn, must accept limits to their demands and claims. That would apply, in particular, to the Shias and the Kurds, the two communities who have been seen to have gained from the invasion of Iraq.

Thirdly, the Sunni Arab community must become convinced that its loss of undivided power will not lead to marginalisation and discrimination. A mechanism must be found to allow the Sunni Arabs to monitor and regulate and, if need be, correct, any signs of discrimination that may emerge in the new Iraqi state.

Fourthly, the existing states surrounding Iraq feel deeply threatened by the changes there. That needs to be recognised and treated in any lasting deal for Iraq and the area…It is far better that these countries are seen to be part of a stable order for the area rather than as outsiders who need to be confronted and challenged.

The Iraqi government that has arisen as a result of the admittedly flawed political process must be accepted as a sovereign and responsible government. No settlement can possibly succeed if its starting point is the illegitimacy of the Iraqi government or one that considers it expendable.

<!-more-> Mr. Allawi makes a number of points which will sound familiar to those who have read and heard JK speak about the future of Iraq and the Middle East. As Juan Cole goes onto note, “Mr. Allawi’s plan was widely hailed by politicians and by journalists and analysts in Britain, but in the insular US it has barely gotten a hearing.” Leaving aside Mr. Cole’s acerbity, it is worth some time reading Mr. Allawi’s proposal and reading about its acceptance by others.

 

3 Comments

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I am very impressed with Mr. Allawi’s ideas here, and think they spell out what have been the real problems in Iraq. 

It seems that a lack of cool and rational heads has been missing, both in Iraq and in the Bush administration.  The time for slogans and playing politics is over.  The time for negotiations and finding political solutions has begun.

I am heartened to hear in the Congress that the Democrats are not going to go along with the troops surge.  There is another area of unity among Democrats, too:  the acceptance of Sen. Kerry’s idea from, really, 2003, that diplomacy must begin in the region.  The U.S. can help facilitate this but it is the Iraqis themselves and players in the region who must begin to really talk about how to solve this problem.  With each day that Bush procrastinates doing this difficult but necessary work, more Iraqis and our troops die.  And each radical side—the Shi’ite militias and the Sunni insurgency—continue to increase their power as fearful Iraqis of each sect run into their arms for security.

Unfortunately, everything I have heard thus far about Bush’s new plan sounds like the old plan, just with 20,000 more troops.  So it will be up to the Democrats to strategize over how to exert the legislative branch’s power to do the people’s will of ending this war.

Posted by beachmom | 01/09/07, 05:30 AM EST

Excellent article by Ali Allawi. The concerns and voice of Iraqis like Allawi, receive very little, if any, attention in the American media.

Everyone should realize by now that the solution has to come from Iraqis.

Posted by ProSense | 01/09/07, 02:03 PM EST

Please no troop surge. The only real plan for Iraq is the Kerry-Fiengold Plan.
This is just another bad attempt at a broken policy. “Spend And Pretend” Spend more lives and money and pretend there is a military solution. Please John Kerry keep speaking out against it!!!!

Posted by johng | 01/10/07, 01:52 AM EST