Senate to Vote on House Budget this Week

The Senate will vote this week on the House GOP budget that ends Medicare, slashes Medicaid, and makes radical cuts to many other needed services. This is the budget that Newt Gingrich called "right-wing social engineering" and is the clearest example yet of the goals and policies of the Republican Party. It's been, not to put too fine a point on it, a colossal failure. Not only is it terrible - TERRIBLE! - policy, but it's turning into a political blunder of historic proportions.

Here's Nate Silver in the New York Times:

Voting for Mr. Ryan’s bill probably did not help many of the 60 or so Republican representatives whose districts were carried by Barack Obama in 2008. Still, if the public regarded the vote as more or less the usual partisan posturing on the budget — Democrats vote one way, Republicans the other — the down side of backing the Ryan plan might have been limited.

Once some Republicans start to defect, though, the public may come to view the bill in a different way. Instead of seeing it as a division between Republicans and Democrats — neither of whom are trusted much on budget issues — voters may instead start to see it as a division between moderate Republicans and extremely conservative ones. Voters who are not steeped in the bill’s particulars may well take that as a signal that it is too extreme, and that the “reasonable” majoritarian position is to oppose the plan.

The bigger problem for the Republicans, though, is a snowball effect: each Republican lawmaker who comes out against the bill makes it a bit less popular — and that in turn increases the incentive for other Republicans to break ranks too. Some Republican House members might be willing to stomach voting for a bill that has the support of 45 percent of the voters in their districts, but if popular support is just 40 percent, or 35 percent, they may throw in the towel. So a feedback loop develops, and one defection begets another.

And that's where we are now. Senators are fleeing the sinking ship, and POLITICO is running stories about "who's to blame" in the Republican Party.

But, in the end, this is just the Republican Party showing their true colors, and the American people not liking what they see.

Comments

New comments for this entry are closed.